Bitcoin Could Retest $93k Amid Declining Institutional Demand; Check Forecast

gold-colored Bitcoin

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  • BTC is down nearly 6% and has dropped below $97K.
  • The slump comes as spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded an outflow of over $800 million.
  • BTC could decline towards the $93k level if the correction continues.

The cryptocurrency market has continued its poor performance in November as Bitcoin failed to overcome the $107K resistance level earlier this week.

The selling pressure that followed has seen Bitcoin drop below $97K for the first time since May.

With the bears currently in control, Bitcoin could test lower support levels in the near term. 
 

BTC dips below $97K as spot Bitcoin ETFs suffer huge outflows

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red zone after correcting more than 5%, 10% and 2%, respectively.

Bitcoin has slipped below the $97K level for the first time since May, while ETH and XRP have faced rejection at their resistance levels, indicating that the bears remain firmly in control and that a deeper correction may be underway.

The bearish performance comes as US spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) reported $869.9 million in net outflows on Thursday, marking their second-largest outflows on record.

Data obtained from SoSoValue revealed that Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust recorded an outflow of $318.2 million on Thursday.

It was followed by BlockRock’s IBIT, with investors pulling out $256.6 million from the fund.

Fidelity’s FBTC saw $119.9 million leave the fund, while Grayscale’s GBTC and ETFs from Ark and 21Shares, Bitwise, VanEck, Invesco, Valkyrie, and Franklin Templeton, all posted net outflows.

Yesterday’s outflow was the second-largest in history, after the $1.14 billion outflow recorded on February 25. While speaking to The Block, Vincent Liu, CIO of Kronos Research, commented that:

Large outflows signal a risk-off reset, reflecting institutions pulling back amid macro noise. This flow weighs on short-term momentum but doesn’t dent the broader structural demand. These bleed-outs align with oversold conditions, opening doors for long-term opportunists.

With institutional demand in Bitcoin-related products declining, Bitcoin’s price could face a further downward trend. 
 

Bearish tilt for Bitcoin

The BTC/USD daily chart remains bearish and efficient as Bitcoin has failed to rally in recent weeks.

Bitcoin faced a rejection at the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at $106,453 earlier this week and has lost over 7% of its value since then. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $96,800. 

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 39, below its neutral level of 50, indicating strong bearish momentum.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence also showed a bearish crossover, indicating that sellers are currently in control.
 

(Click on image to enlarge)

BTC/USD Daily chart


If the correction continues and the daily candle closes below $97,460, it could decline further towards the key psychological level at $95,000. An extended bearish trend could see BTC retest the $93k low. 

On the other hand, if Bitcoin recovers from the recent slump, it could rally towards the 

38.20% Fibonacci retracement at $106,453. The $110k level remains a strong near-term resistance point.


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