Why The P/S Ratio Is My Favorite Valuation Metric

Screen of the week: Price to Sales ratio.

This week, I'm going to focus on the Price to Sales ratio for finding great stocks at great values.

The Price to Sales ratio is a great valuation metric. And given the recent run-up in stocks, value, to me, is becoming more and more important.

In fact, aside from the Zacks Rank, if I could only use one item to screen and pick stocks with, this item would be the one.


Definition

Let's first start with a definition.

The Price to Sales ratio is simply: Price divided by Sales

If the Price to Sales ratio is 1, that means you're paying $1 for every $1 of sales the company makes.

A price to sales ratio of 2 means you're paying $2 for every $1 of sales the company makes.

As you might have guessed, the lower the Price the Sales ratio, the better.

A price to Sales ratio of .5 means you're paying 50 cents for every $1 of sales the company makes.

And paying less than a dollar for a dollar's worth of something is a good bargain.

One of the reasons I like the Price to Sales ratio is because it looks at sales rather than earnings, like the P/E ratio does.

And sales are harder to manipulate on an income statement than earnings.

Secondly, I'd be hard pressed to find a screen where adding the Price to Sales ratio didn't improve it.


Price to Sales Study

For me, I prefer to look for stocks with a Price to Sales ratio under 1. Although, I'm willing to go up to 4, depending on the industry.

But in my testing, as the illustration below shows, those with a Price to Sales ratio of 1 or less produced the best returns. Between 1 and 2 also outperformed pretty significantly. But once you got over 4, the odds were against you.


  • P/S range greater than or equal to 0 and less than or equal to 1:
    Average Annual Return: 17.8%
  • P/S range greater than 1 and less than or equal to 2: Average Annual Return: 11.1%
  • P/S range greater than 2 and less than or equal to 3: Average Annual Return: 7.3%
  • P/S range greater than 3 and less than or equal to 4: Average Annual Return: 3.8%
  • P/S range greater than 4: Average Annual Return: -7.9%


But the best way to use it, I've found, is to find stocks with a Price to Sales ratio below the median for its Industry.

And that's what we'll be focusing on in this week's screen.


Screen Parameters

• Projected Growth Rate greater than or equal to Projected Growth Rate for the S&P
(Above market growth rates.)

• Last Earnings Surprise greater than 0
(Positive EPS Surprise)

• Last Sales Surprise 01 greater than 0
(Positive Sales Surprise)

• Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2
(Only stocks with a Zacks Rank of a Strong Buy or Buy get through.)

• Price to Sales less than or equal to Median Price to Sales for its Industry
(Valuations that are lower than their Industry.)

• Price greater than or equal to $5

• Avg. 20 Day Volume greater than or equal to 100,000


Stock Selections

Here are 5 stocks from this week's list:

(KR - Analyst Report) Kroger
(P/S = 0.28)

(CDW - Snapshot Report) CDW Corp.
(P/S = 0.50)

(AMED - Analyst Report) Amedisys
(P/S = 0.72)

(HA - Snapshot Report) Hawaiian Holdings
(P/S = 0.55)

(SYKE - Snapshot Report) Sykes Enterprises
(P/S = 0.76)

STOCKS IN THIS ARTICLE

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