Where The July Jobs Were: "Obamacare Again Offset Weak Industrial, Consumer Sector"

While last month's outlier spike of 42K tech sector jobs created in June, has come and gone, the breakdown of the July jobs confirms some recently well-known trends continue, namely that the bulk of new jobs added remain in low-paying industries.

While last month's outlier spike in Information-related jobs, which saw 42K tech sector created in June, has come and gone, the breakdown of the July job additions confirms that some recently well-known trends continue, namely that the bulk of new jobs added remain in low-paying industries. Not only that, but some frank question marks emerge, like for example how did the government add 27K education jobs in July (out of a total 38K) at a time when schools don't hire. The answer: seasonal adjustments and model quirks.

So where were the July jobs? As our friends at Southbay Research point out, "Obamacare jobs offset weak Industrial and Consumer payrolls."

The breakdown:

  • Consumer demand is wobbly
    • Construction: Weak
    • Retail: Weak
  • Industrial Sector and related ecosystem remains weak but has bottomed
    • Mining (-7K)
    • Manufacturing (+9K)
    • Truck & Rail (+1k)
    • Temp (+17K)
  • Obamacare to the rescue: Healthcare +49K
    • Leisure & Hospitality (+45K) surges on extra convention-related hiring
  • Construction: Despite claims of a strong housing market, Construction payrolls are the weakest since 2012, consistent with SouthBay data which shows a sudden sharp decline in hiring at homebuilders. Reflecting the slowdown, Building Material Retail jobs were also weak (-1K).
  • Retail (+15K): Peak Auto sales is evident in Auto payrolls (+1K)
  • Temp (+17K)
  • Election Year Payrolls: Advertising (+3K)

And the full breakdown:

Disclosure:

None.

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