What Happens Next? - Tuesday, July 10

Since the early close last Tuesday, the S&P 500 is up 80 points.

Since the early close last Tuesday, the S&P 500 is up 80 points, The Dow is up over 700 points... but 30Y Treasury yields are unchanged and the yield curve has tumbled?

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Bonds must be wrong, right? They are manipulated, right? Stocks must be the arbiter all of future knowledge - just like they were in 2008?

Still, as Gluskin Sheff's David Rosenberg points out, anyone questioning the bull thesis is lambasted...

"I'm accused of 'confirmation' bias and yet last I saw, the broad NYSE composite is no higher today than it was back in December, and has not made a new high since Jan 26th. Sounds a whoooole lot like a classic topping pattern..."

Doesn't look like a 'rebound' as much as the other indices so dominated by FANG etc. 

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This won't end well... 

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h/t: @carlquintanilla

As Rosenberg concludes - " Think 1989, think 2000, think 2007".

 

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