VIX Closes At 5-Month Lows, BofA Warns Volatility Term Structure Is A "Significant Concern"

Historically, the market has struggled to hold its gains when the VXV:VIX ratio closes above 1.2.

At 12.58, VIX closed Friday at its lowest level since December 4th 2014 (which makes perfect sense, given the forward-looking volatility implied by each and every macro data item and earnings release in the next month). However, as BofA notes, the VIX term structure (VXV / VIX) suggests "significant concern" about this advance in stocks being sustained.

 

VIX at 5 month lows...

 

Friday's close above 1.2 in the VXV/VIX ratio is significant concern.

 

Historically, the market has struggled to hold its gains when this ratio closes above 1.2.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

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