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- The USD/JPY pair performed well at the end of the week due to the good results in US jobs creation.
- The USD/JPY pair exceeded the 110.00 yen barrier.
- For the next week, US CPI, and PPI data can provide fresh impetus to the pair.
- In Japan, household spending fell more than expected.
In the second half of the week, the USD/JPY forecast changed its trend and generated strong gains, especially after the good economic results presented in the US NFP report on Friday. Job creation in July far exceeded expectations. A total of 943,000 new jobs were created, well above the 870,000 expected number. Additionally, the May and June corrections reported the number of 119,000 for a total of 1,062,000 new jobs.
Along the same lines, both the unemployment rate and annual wages improved their indicators, which gave a boost to the US economy and, in turn, boosted the USD/JPY pair.
The country’s unemployment rate fell to 5.4%, reducing this indicator by 0.5% from the 5.9% registered in June. As for annual salaries, they improved by 4%, above the 3.7% increase in June. The underemployment rate also fell to 9.2% from 9.8% previously. The pair responded immediately to the announcements and rose above the 110.00 barrier.
On behalf of the Japanese economy, spending is limited by restrictions due to new COVID-19 cases in the country. In this sense, spending decreased by 5.1% from June 2020 to June of this year, well below the estimated 0.1%.
Upcoming Events
The consumer price index (CPI) will be released on Wednesday, followed by PPI data on Thursday. The US CPI is expected to decline to 0.5% against June’s 0.9% figure. The Fed policy directly depends on it. Good results of these indexes may further strengthen the US dollar.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls Sustaining Beyond 110.00
During the session on Friday, the USD/JPY surpassed the barrier of the 50-day moving average and the psychological barrier of 110.00. These levels now become support zones. The new resistance lines are 111.00 and 111.50. Above that is the cap of the March 2020 swing high (111.97 yen).
USD/JPY Weekly Forecast – Daily Chart
USD/JPY Weekly Forecast: Sideways Movements between 108.50 and 111.75
The current level of the market has been tested several times, and that presents strong resistance above 110.75. The market may try again to overcome the 110.75 barrier, but it can rebound and consolidate gains. So, the price may keep oscillating between 108.50 and 111.75 yen.
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