US Session Bullet Report

Revised Q2 figures for the eurozone showed that GDP has increased by 0.4% as opposed to 0.3% previously. EU powerhouse Germany saw imports and exports hit record highs in July, pushing the trade surplus to 22.8 billion euros, better than expected.

As a result, eurozone stocks are heading for their best day in more than 2 months as investors latch on to market opportunities. The German DAX is trading up almost 200 points at time of writing and the FTSE 100 also making strong gains.

USD has also enjoyed a strong revival, notably against the EUR and JPY. The greenback started the EU session being sold off but has since recovered. From a high of 1.1228 against the EUR, it is now trading at 1.1157 and from a low of 118.870 against the JPY, is now trading at 119.985 at time of writing.

Elsewhere, Oil has broken out above its earlier pivot and is now trading at $45.60. Gold remains stuck in a tight range of the last few days around 1122.
With the US session due to open soon, it will be interesting to see if the positive sentiment carries over from Europe. On the recent selloff, Mark Schwartz of Goldman Sachs’ was recently quoted as saying, “I think the market reaction globally is overdone” so as September rolls on, speculation will again begin on whether the US will be lifting its interest rate this month.

Trading quote of the day:

“Without action, the best intentions in the world are nothing more than that: intentions.”

– Jordan Belfort

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.115
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.115 with targets @ 1.123 & 1.126 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.115 look for further downside with 1.1115 & 1.1085 as targets.
Comment: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

GBPUSD
Pivot: 1.532
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.532 with targets @ 1.541 & 1.544 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.532 look for further downside with 1.529 & 1.5265 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

AUDUSD
Pivot: 0.699
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.699 with targets @ 0.693 & 0.69 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.699 look for further upside with 0.702 & 0.7065 as targets.
Comment: As long as 0.699 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

USDJPY
Pivot: 119.5
Likely scenario: Long positions above 119.5 with targets @ 120.2 & 120.65 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 119.5 look for further downside with 119.2 & 118.9 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

USDCAD
Pivot: 1.329
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.329 with targets @ 1.322 & 1.3175 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.329 look for further upside with 1.3325 & 1.3355 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is badly directed.

USDCHF
Pivot: 0.9735
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.9735 with targets @ 0.982 & 0.9855 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.9735 look for further downside with 0.97 & 0.9675 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is well directed.

GOLD
Pivot: 1124.8
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1124.8 with targets @ 1115.9 & 1110 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1124.8 look for further upside with 1130.7 & 1137 as targets.
Comment: As long as 1124.8 is resistance, likely decline to 1115.9.

OIL
Pivot: 44.2
Likely scenario: Long positions above 44.2 with targets @ 46 & 47.25 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 44.2 look for further downside with 43.2 & 41.75 as targets.
Comment: The RSI has just broken above a declining trend line.

DAX
Pivot: 10440
Likely scenario: Short positions below 10440 with targets @ 9881 & 9700 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 10440 look for further upside with 10650 & 10735 as targets.
Comment: As long as the resistance at 10440 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 9881 remains high.