US Import, Export Prices Tumble As China Exports Most Deflation Since 2007

Both import and export prices indices tumbled more than expected into deflationary territory.

With import and export prices growth having slowed almost non-stop for six months - tracking China's collapsing credit impulse - expectations were for a further acceleration in January...

And they did - both import and export prices indices tumbled more than expected into deflationary territory:

  • Import Prices dropped 1.7% YoY - weakest since Nov 2015
  • Export Prices dropped 0.2% YoY - weakest since Jan 2016

(Click on image to enlarge)

Under the hoods:

  • Import prices ex-fuels fell 0.2% after no change in Dec.
  • Import prices ex-petroleum fell 0.7% after rising 0.3% in Dec.
  • Import prices ex-food and fuel unchanged y/y in Jan.
  • Industrial supplies prices fell 1.7% after falling 3.8% in Dec.
  • Auto prices fell 0.2% after rising 0.1% in Dec.
  • Consumer goods prices fell 0.3% after rising 0.1% in Dec.
  • Export prices fell 0.6% after falling 0.6% in Dec.
  • Export prices ex-agriculture fell 0.3% after falling 1.1% in Dec.

Notice a trend?

Led by the most deflationary export print from China since Dec 2007...

(Click on image to enlarge)

Another not-inflation print that provides cover for The Fed to remain on the sidelines - but is this reason to buy stocks? A Deflationary impulse is rippling through the global economy and its baked in the cake - no matter what China does now to stimulate, there's a lag.

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