Trump Dithers And Betting On Re-Opening By July 1st Crashes

Menzie Chinn
By Menzie Chinn of Econbrowser
Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin •

Prediction market odds for a July 1st re-opening crashed as Trump's hesitation fuels uncertainty.

depositphotos_46270193-stock-photo-document-in-laptop.jpg
Source: DepositPhotos

Not quite the lowest odds ever, but pretty close; betting odds have retraced to just before “imminent”.

Source: Kalshi, accessed 5/30/2026, 10PM CT.

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