Today's Trading Plan: Two Different Trading Worlds

Another day for the S&P 500 (SPX) where it manages to close with a doji candle pattern. The market, as has been the case all year long, shows some willingness early on to sell-off, only for the dip buyers to bail it out before the end of the day.

Technical Analysis:

  • Another day for the S&P 500 (SPX) where it manages to close with a doji candle pattern. The market, as has been the case all year long, shows some willingness early on to sell-off, only for the dip buyers to bail it out before the end of the day. 
  • Volume on SPDRs S&P 500 (SPY) fell for a third consecutive day and below recent average levels. 
  • If SPX breaks out to the upside here following this 3-day holding pattern, the breakout should probably be respected, though I wouldn't expect a move like what we saw out of it early last week. 
  • The only issue that remains is the massive move way outside the daily bands on Russell 2000 (IWM) and Dow Jones Industrial (DIA) where price is extremely stretched and overbought. 
  • Speaking of IWM, the volume there over the last four days has been monumental with massive amounts of buying taking place. 
  • Don't chase in this market - it isn't the time to suddenly decide you want to buy the financials. 
  • Three straight days of the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX ) wanting to bounce but getting squashed each time before the market closes. Notice the very large candle shadows above the candle bodies. 
  • 30-minute chart of SPX shows a healthy triangle pattern that may breakout to the upside today. 
  • There is a clear rotation taking place in this market where money is flowing from tech and utilities and into defense, banks, and infrastructure. 
  • Poor breadth continues to dominate this market over the last three trading sessions. 

My Trades:

  • Did not close out any positions yesterday. 
  • Added one new position to the portfolio yesterday. 
  • Will look to add 1-2 new swing trades to the portfolio today. 
  • Currently 20% Short / 80% Cash

Chart for SPX:

SP 500 Market Analysis 11 15 16

Disclosure:

None.

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