Technical Outlook:
- SPX finished higher for a third straight week and the first time it has pulled off such a streak since last November/December.
- Interestingly enough SPX closed at 1999.99 on Friday, which came at the chagrin of many holders of weekly call options at 2000.
- The tendency of late has been for any pullback to come back to the 10-day moving average before popping again. That could be the case again this week.
- Volume was a bit higher on Friday, more so than what was seen over the last two days, but still well below average.
- The 200-day moving average for SPX looms large for the market and currently sits at 2023.
- VIX showed a slight amount of strength rising 1% to 16.86.
- There is a nice rising trend-line off of the October lows on VIX that price is trying to bounce off of right now.
- The 2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average closed at the highest level since January 2013. The indicator has risen in a manner so parabolic that hasn't been seen before - and rising 8 straight days. This indicator alone suggests that SPX is due for a pullback this week, even if it is only a mild one.
- The latest leg on the SPX 30 minute chart suggests their is extreme exhaustion in the market rising over 75 points without a single pullback.
- USO continues to trade higher but nearing resistance at around 9.85-6.
My Trades:
- Closed out FLS on Friday at $44.50 for a 3.8% profit.
- Closed out NFLX on Friday at $99.50 for a 2.8% profit.
- Did not add any new swing-trades to the portfolio on Friday.
- Currently 10% long / 90% Cash
- Will look to add 1-2 new positions and follow the market's direction
Chart for SPX:
Comments
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