Today's Trading Plan: Losing Volume Again

S&P 500 gave up all of its mornings gains yesterday to close flat on the day. Today looks to be setting up in the AM in a similar fashion as the futures are popping higher.

Technical Outlook:

  • S&P 500 (SPXgave up all of its mornings gains yesterday to close flat on the day. Today looks to be setting up in the AM in a similar fashion as the futures are popping higher. 
  • The trend these days is to ignore Crude (/CL) when it is trading lower, and to rally when it manages to rally. Oil is down prior to the start of the equities market opening, and as a result, the market is ignoring it. 
  • SPX continues to trade in a tightening range following the 9/9 sell-off. Tomorrow, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will announce their own monetary policy decisions, and it will rock the market in one direction or the other. 
  • Volume on SPDRs S&P 500 (SPY) was incredibly weak on Monday, and was hal f of what we saw on average last week. The reading also came in below recent averages. 
  • The SPX rising trend-line off of the February lows still remains a possible destination for this market. A test would occur at 2115. Overhead, there is plenty of resistance in the 2155 to 2170 area. 
  • This market could still easily reverse back down again, though I think the bears have missed a golden opportunity over the last week, to push this market lower. 
  • If SPX continues to move higher today, it will find some heavy short-term resistance in the 2160-75 area that it will have to deal with. 
  • Crude (/CL) looks to break the September lows and likely move on toward the August lows.

My Trades:

  • Did not close out any trades yesterday. 
  • Did not add any new trades yesterday. 
  • May add 1-2 new swing-trades to the portfolio today. 
  • Currently 30% Long / 10% Short / 60% Cash

Chart for SPX:

SP 500 Market Analysis 9-20-16

Disclosure:

None.

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