Technical Outlook:
- SPX had a solid day yesterday following dovish remarks about future rate increases from Janet Yellen.
- Her dovish outlook as it pertains to rate hikes has been, in large part, the reason for the massive rally off of the February lows.
- Volume yesterday on the SPY was notably higher than recent days, but still well below current averages.
- The biggest technical development that took place yesterday was the break of the downward trend-line off of the November highs of last year.
- Support continues to come in on any and all tests of the 10-day moving average.

- The 5-day moving average saw price spike above and through it yesterday.
- Follow through today will put SPX on new rally highs.
- VIX dropped a hard 9.3% yesterday and is back at recent lows. T2108 rallied back a strong 5.3% yesterday to close at 86.69.
- Nce higher-low formed and put in place on SPX 30 minute chart. Will look to establish a higher-high today.
- Oil continues to weaken, with USO dropping five straight sessions and six of the last seven. The drop off of recent highs has had little consequence for the market.
- Everything above SPX 2040 poses a lot of resistance for the market. However, the market's behavior and strength in late, suggests that price action will be able to push through.
- Overbought conditions have actually managed to work themselves off some in the short-term.
- The market so far, is looking like it is working off overbought conditions through time rather than price.
- It is very possible right now, that we continue to rally into May before the market sees any strong renewed selling interest, much like the case of 2008 where a similar event took place before the rest of the year was mired in heavy selling.
- Bears should be targeting a break of last week's lows on the 30 minute chart to jump start the sell-off.
My Trades:
- Did not sell any swing trades yesterday.
- Added one new swing-trade to the portfolio yesterday.
- Currently 40% Long / 60% Cash
- Remain long TLT at $129.52, NFLX at $100.24, MJN at $82.05.
- Will look to add 1-2 new additional positions today.
Chart for SPX:





Comments
Log in or sign up to join the conversation.