Technical Outlook:
- SPX snapped the four-day winning streak. The final hour of trading came to the rescue of the bulls, by erasing 1/3 of the losses.
- The bounce took place at the 5 & 20-day moving average.
- Futures are down heading into the open and look to open up at/near yesterday's lows.
- Volume on SPY increased yesterday and slightly above average volume readings.
- Massive convergence of moving averages - the 5, 10, 20 and 50 moving averages are all within 8 points of each other on SPX.
- Argument could be made that a bearish kicker was formed on SPY yesterday.
- For the bulls: need to get back above Friday's closing price.
- For the bears: need to break below the double top confirmation level currently at 2030.
- VIX stumped at the resistance area around the 16.40's.
- Lots of resistance in the 2110's for SPX 30 minute chart. Also, lower-lows and lower-highs in place.
- In general Q3 doesn't ten to be a very good quarter historically for stocks. In recent past that has also been the case. Last August, there was an extreme sell-off.
- Dip buyers aren't dead yet. They finally came to bat in the final hour yesterday.
- Market is assuming that rate hikes are pretty much off the table for all of 2016.
My Trades:
- Added one new short position to the portfolio yesterday.
- Did not close out any swing-trades yesterday.
- Will look to add 1-2 new trades today.
- Best risk/reward currently is to the downside.
- Currently 30% Short / 70% Cash
Chart for SPX:





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