Technical Outlook:
- Day 3 of the sell-off was equally impressive, faking out the bulls early on only to drop hard in afternoon trading.
- 20-day moving average was breached.

- Volume on SPY was well above average, very impressive, and increased for a fourth straight day.
- Most impressive though was the VIX chart that rose another 23% and is now trading above 20 at 20.97.
- Above 20 is considered the place where the market contracts at. This blows through the resistance that was at the 16/17 area.
- This is the highest closing for the VIX since February 23rd of this year.
- I think we are in a distribution phase here. I am looking to short the bounce at this point. VIX is insanely high, and the market overall is showing a change in its character.
- Dip buying has been lacking for the second straight day. No attempts taking place whatsoever.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average is dropping fast and down to 53%
- Above 2100 a lot of rallies go on to die. That is again what we are seeing here. Weakness suddenly creeping in and the bulls fleeing.
- Choppy support on the 30 minute chart of SPX yesterday failed to hold at 2086
- The rising trend-line off of the February lows was broken yesterday on SPX.
- As a possible brexit approaches, expect the volatility to increase as well.
- I believe, at this point, profits have to be taken aggressively, and avoid the tendency to let the profits run - the market is in a very choppy range that has mired stock price for the past two years. Unless it breaks out of it and onto new all-time highs, then taking profits aggressively is absolutely important.
My Trades:
- Covered QQQ at $108.92 yesterday for a 1% profit.
- Sold MMM yesterday at $167.46 yesterday for a 1.8% loss.
- Added one additional swing-trade yesterday.
- Currently 10% Long / 90% Cash
- Have the flexibility to go either way the market wants to take me today.
Chart for SPX:





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