Today's Trading Plan: Bears Creeping In

The market continued with the same story that it has been engaged in for the past four months and counting... Buy every dip you can get your hands on.

Technical Outlook:

  • The market continued with the same story that it has been engaged in for the past four months and counting... Buy every dip  you can get your hands on. 
  • SPX sold off early on, but managed to recover nearly 75% of its losses by the close of the day. bears coming back into the stock market
  • SPY volume, as it has done all week, showed extremely weak volume readings, well below average, but did increase for a second straight day. 
  • The 5-day moving average continues to provide rising support for the market. That will be tested again today with the futures down hard to start things off. 
  • With that said, weak opens have been very problematic for the bulls of late. 
  • The volatility index, VIX, rose for a fourth straight day. During this time, the market remains right near its rally highs. 
  • SPX 30 minute chart shows some signs of distribution taking place. A sell-off could find support in the 2102-5 area. 
  • Rising trend-line off of the 5/19 lows on the 30 minute chart looks to be broken today at the open. 
  • For the bulls, they need to maintain the 2111 level as this marks the previous highs in the current rally. 
  • The tendency for the bulls of late has been to allow the bears to run the markets lower in the first hour of trading, followed by a consistent rally throughout the remainder of the day. 
  • If SPX doesn't take out the all-time highs soon, speculation will quickly swirl that the market is starting to roll over again. 
  • It appears that today's weakness is a result of brexit starting to nudge its way into the headlines again. 
  • I believe, at this point, profits have to be taken aggressively, and avoid the tendency to let the profits run - the market is in a very choppy range that has mired stock price for the past two years. Unless it breaks out of it and onto new all-time highs, then taking profits aggressively is absolutely important. 

My Trades:

  • Added a short position to the portfolio yesterday. 
  • Did not close out any positions yesterday. 
  • Currently 30% Long / 10% Short 60% Cash
  • Remain long ZAYO at $27.96 and two other positions. 
  • Will look to possibly add 1-2 new positions today if the market can continue pushing higher. 

Chart for SPX:

SP 500 Market Analysis 6-10-16

STOCKS IN THIS ARTICLE

Comments