Today, we’re looking at one of the most intense and surprising signals coming out of global markets right now: the oil curve has gone almost perfectly flat. That may sound technical, but it is a huge development. In a normal shortage environment, especially after the kind of historic supply disruption and record backwardation we just saw, near-term oil should trade at a sustained premium. Instead, in the space of just weeks, that curve has collapsed, twisting into a shape that is on the cusp of saying there’s too much oil.
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