Tesla Shares Hit The Wall After Reliability Report

Our models have been down on Tesla for a while now. We put a sell on the stock back in early September. Today, investors also realized that all was not well at the alternative vehicle manufacturer.

Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and electric vehicle powertrain components. The Company is headquartered in Palo Alto, California.

Our models have been down on Tesla for a while now. We put a sell on the stock back in early September. Prior to that the firm had a brief spell as a HOLD from July 6th to September, but it spent the rest of 2015 as a STRONG SELL or SELL.

Today, investors also realized that all was not well at the alternative vehicle manufacturer. Shares took a dive on news that Consumer Reports, the "bible" of car reliability ratings, had found the car to possess worse-than-average predicted reliability. While drivers reported some typical issues for newer vehicles--such as sun roof leaks,squeaks, and body rattles, more significant were issues relating to the car's transmission and battery charging systems.

One wonders how this will effect sales given the fact that up until now the company had such strong demand it could not fill all orders in a timely fashion. Teslas are NOT cheap, and people ready to pay a premium for a vehicle that requires special charging equipment may not be quite so sanguine about laying out that extra money if the vehicle is not as plush or refined as others in its price range.

Below is today's data on TSLA:

Recommendation: We continues with SELL recommendation on Tesla Motors, Inc. for 2015-10-19. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that Tesla Motors, Inc. has the probability to UNDERPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio and Price Sales Ratio.

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

226.17 -0.85%

3-Month

227.99 -0.05%

6-Month

233.48 2.36%

1-Year

204.92 -10.16%

2-Year

277.71 21.75%

3-Year

282.05 23.65%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

35.03% overvalued

Valuation Rank

7

1-M Forecast Return

-0.85%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

8

12-M Return

-1.03%

Momentum Rank

54

Sharpe Ratio

0.91

Sharpe Ratio Rank

95

5-Y Avg Annual Return

49.99%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

99

Volatility

55.21%

Volatility Rank

32

Expected EPS Growth

188.93%

EPS Growth Rank

93

Market Cap (billions)

28.60

Size Rank

96

Trailing P/E Ratio

n/a

Trailing P/E Rank

27

Forward P/E Ratio

94.65

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

4

PEG Ratio

0.45

PEG Ratio Rank

63

Price/Sales

7.72

Price/Sales Rank

12

Market/Book

39.95

Market/Book Rank

3

Beta

0.85

Beta Rank

53

Alpha

0.05

Alpha Rank

69

Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

57.62%

Stocks Overvalued

42.38%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

24.03%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

13.78%

Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Business Services

0.55%

5.00%

0.46%

5.91% overvalued

3.61%

23.37

Consumer Staples

0.64%

4.96%

-1.18%

3.64% overvalued

4.39%

24.02

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

1.16%

5.53%

-9.46%

1.17% overvalued

-5.76%

20.29

Finance

0.31%

2.99%

0.02%

0.27% overvalued

1.10%

16.67

Utilities

-0.40%

5.13%

-5.69%

0.60% undervalued

-3.34%

22.32

Consumer Discretionary

0.17%

5.00%

2.96%

1.82% undervalued

4.03%

26.32

Computer and Technology

0.34%

4.22%

-2.69%

2.30% undervalued

3.88%

28.77

Aerospace

-0.13%

4.23%

-1.49%

3.75% undervalued

-3.89%

17.64

Retail-Wholesale

0.83%

3.17%

-6.81%

3.75% undervalued

4.50%

22.49

Medical

-0.77%

1.61%

2.51%

3.88% undervalued

6.78%

29.43

Industrial Products

0.98%

6.95%

-7.69%

4.17% undervalued

-8.14%

18.10

Construction

1.04%

4.83%

-0.79%

5.00% undervalued

7.95%

20.82

Oils-Energy

-0.13%

13.79%

-17.32%

8.34% undervalued

-37.50%

26.09

Transportation

-0.86%

5.41%

-12.29%

8.60% undervalued

-3.32%

15.64

Auto-Tires-Trucks

-0.58%

8.47%

-3.50%

9.54% undervalued

4.14%

15.29

Basic Materials

2.67%

10.78%

-14.02%

12.01% undervalued

-17.51%

24.20

Valuation Watch: Overvalued stocks now make up 42.38% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 13.78% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Four sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

 

STOCKS IN THIS ARTICLE

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