So Q1 is over and this happened...
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And the message is clear...
Video length: 00:00:08
Gold wins...
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It's been an interesting quarter...
- Nasdaq best Quarter since Q4 2013
- S&P best quarter since Q4 2015
- Dow up 6 quarters in a row - since The Shanghai Accord (the longest streak since Q4 2006)
- Financials up four quarters in a row
- USD Index second worst quarter since Q3 2010
- Gold second best quarter since Q3 2012
- WTI Crude's worst quarter (and first losing quarter) since Q4 2015
- US Crude Production had biggest quarter since Q3 2014
Nasdaq the big winner in US equities... (Trannies and Small Caps melted up to green in the last few days)
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Energy was Q1's big loser, Financials managed to bounce off unch, and Tech was the big gainer...
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Only 2Y Yields were higher over Q1 - that's with 2 rate hikes-ish...
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The USD Index was a one-way trade in Q1 - down!
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And for the month of March, gold also led (though most assets were negative)
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Highlights of the month
- Nasdaq up 5 months in a row (longest streak since May 2013)
- Dow worst month since Oct 2016
- S&P up 5 months in a row
- Financials worst month since Sept 2016
- USD Index second worst month since April 2016
- HY Bonds' worst month since Oct 2016
- WTI Crude's worst month since Jul 2016
- US crude production is up 6 months in a row
Small Caps squeezed up to unchanged on the month and every effort was undertaken to keep the S&P green for March...BUT FAILED!
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Financials were March's biggest loser, Tech the leader again...
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Given all the vol in equities and crude oil, bonds ended the month practically unch... Policy Error?
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Treasury yields have been trading in a very wide range for 5 months...
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The dollar tumbled after The Fed's dovish rate hike...
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Despite USD weakness, commodities all ended the month in the red - with Gold almost breaking even and crude ugly...
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And finally for the week (after a big whipsaw last Friday on the pulled healthcare vote)...massive squeeze for Trannies and Small Caps
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Massive short squeeze all week... this is the 8th day in a row that "Most Shorted" has been squeezed higher...longest since the election
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Ugly close for stocks with a big MOC Sell order...NOT off the lows...
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VIX seemed unhappy...
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Treasury yields leaked lower today as Dudley's dovish words sent risk-off, leaving yields unch for the week...
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The dollar dropped to a session low in choppy trading after New York Fed’s Dudley said that 2 more rate increases in 2017 seem about right, though there’s no need to hurry given that the economy is far from overheating, but ended the week marginally higher...
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Despite the dollar's gains, Crude squeezed over 5% higher on the week... Gold unch
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WTI ended the week back above $50...
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And gold above $1250 with Silver over $18 holding gains post Fed rate hike...
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