Major stock dislocations are very tough to predict and almost impossible to time. It is easy to predict an accident when you see someone driving drunk nearly every day in a car that is not maintained.
But timing it, well, that's the issue for most, and a preoccupation for just about every amateur and the pundits that make their living selling them the 'inside scoop'. If they really knew, they wouldn't sell that kind of information.
Traders make up for this kind of uncertainty with their reflexes, and if they are good, with an aversion to betting their egos rather than their wallets.
We may even see a Gold fight at the OK Corral before then if these paper pushers keep it up too long.
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