SMOKE

Don’t Let the Smoke Out There are technical measures that are warning that the financial wires are getting very hot. The hottest since 2007 and 2000. Bubbles, in any century, are dangerous and failure has been signaled by changes in the credit markets.

What about the climax of this bubble? Most of the great stock bubbles have clocked a regular timing pattern. 2017 is the year that a great bull market could become hot enough to conclude. Since the advent of modern financial markets by 1700, most of the great stock bubbles have concluded in the ninth year after the climax of a great speculation in commodities. This history would not be put forward if there weren’t signs of excessive speculation (✓) in the ninth year of the equivalent in commodities (✓). The big high in commodities was in 2008.

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