Richmond Fed Tumbles Into Contraction, Confirms Regional Fed Survey Slump

The Richmond Fed's Manufacturing Survey disappointed, tumbling to -5 from -1 last month (and expectations of a bounce to +1).

Confirming the pessimistic plunges in Kansas City and Philadelphia, The Richmond Fed's Manufacturing Survey disappointed, tumbling to -5 from -1 last month (and expectations of a bounce to +1).

(Click on image to enlarge)

Source: Bloomberg

Under the hood was more worrisome:

  • Shipments fell to -6 after -2 the prior month
  • New order volume slowed to -13 after -3 the prior month
  • Order backlogs were unchanged at -11 after -11 the prior month
  • Capacity utilization slowed to -12 after 2 the prior month
  • Inventory levels of finished goods increased to 22 after 15 last month
  • Inventory levels of raw goods rose to 21 after 20 last month

So, inventories up, new orders and shipments tumbling?! It doesn't sound like a renaissance in America to us.

And the average workweek crashed to its worst since April 2009...

(Click on image to enlarge)

Source: Bloomberg

Of course, as long as the PMIs are rebounding no one will pay attention to this... yet

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