Random Observations

Inversion continues, with 10yr-3mo at the same level as on 12/`6. VIX​​​​​​​ at 45. Kalshi odds on a recession at 68%, highest since trading started in August. EPU at 1203.

Person Holding Blue and Clear Ballpoint Pen

Image Source: Pexels

Inversion continues, with 10yr-3mo at the same level as on 12/`6. VIX at 45. Kalshi odds on a recession at 68%, highest since trading started in August. EPU at 1203.

SP500 futures down 4.5% as of 7pm ET.

EPU at 1203 – maximum reading.

So much winning!


More By This Author:

Business Cycle Indicators: Employment In March
Has The Recession Already Started?
What A Difference A Day Makes: The Post-Obliteration Day Yield Curve

Comments