Oil Inventories Should Continue To Fall

Expect a continued decline in US Crude Inventories below the 5yr Moving Average to push WTI higher with the historical market psychology response all things being equal.

It’s interesting to watch the dramatic turnaround in our holding CHK. Post-Wildhorse deal the stock collapsed as oil prices fell and Wall St assumed prices would be low forever. Oil has rebounded higher and no the deal is being thought of a smart one and the stock has reacted accordingly (up over 50% YTD). Additionally, our DTO short has performed spectacularly (86% gain) and will continue to do so.

“Davidson” submits:

Refining has picked up-US Crude Inv falls 9,589mil BBL to 439,483mil BBL which is basically inline with its 5yr Mov Avg at 438,920mil BBL-next report likely to show continued draw with additional refining coming on line which is typical this time of year.

Expect a continued decline in US Crude Inv below the 5yr Mov Avg to push $WTI higher with the historical market psychology response all things being equal.

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