Natural Gas Seems Jumpy

Though the natural gas market remains range-bound it continues to bounce around violently within its range, with the December contract shooting higher this morning before reversing lower into the early afternoon.

Though the natural gas market remains range-bound it continues to bounce around violently within its range, with the December contract shooting higher this morning before reversing lower into the early afternoon. 

(Click on image to enlarge)

natural gas commodity weather

It was the first day with the December contract trading as prompt, and it settled just two ticks above where the November contract expired yesterday, though day-over-day the December contract logged a slight decline. 

natural gas commodity weather

Prices bounced later in the day on some cold risks Week 2 that Climate Prediction Center forecasts showed well. 

natural gas commodity weather

In the morning there were also modest long-range cold increases. 

natural gas commodity weather

In our Morning Update we warned that "...overnight model guidance did seem to keep enough long-range cold risks to spook the market..." but that enough factors kept us to "...still see price downside even today." Sure enough, prices reversed after the early rally and settled slightly lower. 

(Click on image to enlarge

natural gas commodity weather

 

natural gas commodity weather

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