The March natural gas contract was finally able to hold onto some gains today, settling up a bit over a percent on the day as afternoon weather model guidance turned back colder after recent volatility and balances began to improve.
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It was actually the fall strip that was the biggest winner on the day, though, with the September contract leading the way higher.
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The March/April spread was essentially flat on the day despite a decent rally at the front of the strip.
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This came as LNG exports finally came back online today.
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In our Morning Update, we warned that those could combine with colder weekend weather to strengthen cash today, which turned our sentiment "Slightly Bullish" as the March contract seemed to have a floor at $2.55 despite overnight GWDD losses.


We also warned that 12z model guidance and Week 3 forecasts were more likely to trend bullish than yesterday.

This verified well, with afternoon model guidance shooting back colder with Climate Prediction Center Week 2 forecasts cooling today.





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