Marriott International Inc. Reports Extremely Bullish Earnings Guidance Through 2019

Marriott International Inc. provided some optimistic guidance about the growth of its businesses, with its earnings guidance for 2019 far exceeding analyst expectations.

Written by StockNews.com

Marriott International Inc. (Nasdaq: MAR) early Tuesday [Mar 21, 2017 | 6:57am] provided some optimistic guidance about the growth of its businesses, with its earnings guidance for 2019 far exceeding analyst expectations.

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The Bethesda, MD-based lodging giant said its expects to add $675 million in stabilized fees from hotel rooms added to its system in 2017 and continuing through 2019. As a result, it expects diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.25 to $5.80 by 2019, with a compound annual growth rate of 17% to 21% versus 2016 results.

On average, Wall Street analysts are looking for much lower 2019 EPS of $5.07. It’s worth noting that such far-out analyst estimates are often subject to significant revisions over time.

Marriott also expects RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room) growth of 1% to 3% compounded annually through 2019, although the company noted that is only an estimate and not a firm forecast. RevPAR is a key industry metric that’s considered perhaps the most important indicator of a lodging firm’s health.

Cash available for shareholders is expected to total $8.3 to $9.3 billion through 2019, and shareholders could see $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion in dividends during that timeframe. That’s assuming a continued 30% payout ratio. MAR also expects $6.9 to $7.8 billion in stock buybacks over the next three years.

Marriott International Inc. shares were unchanged in premarket trading Tuesday. Year-to-date, MAR has gained 7.62%, versus a 5.92% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

MAR currently has a StockNews.com POWR Rating of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #1 of 19 stocks in the Travel – Hotels/Resorts category.

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