The September US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index conducted by Markit came in at 51.1, down 0.8 from the 50.3 final August figure. Markit's Manufacturing PMI is a diffusion index: A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector; below 50 indicates contraction.
Here is an excerpt from Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit in their latest press release:
"News of the PMI hitting a five-month high brings a sigh of relief, but manufacturing is not out of the woods yet. The September improvement fails to prevent US goods producers from having endured their worst quarter for a decade. Given these PMI numbers, the manufacturing recession appears to have extended into its third quarter." [Press Release]
Here is a snapshot of the series since mid-2012.
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Here is an overlay with the equivalent PMI survey conducted by the Institute for Supply Management (see our full article on this series here, note that ).
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The next chart uses a three-month moving average of the two rather volatile series to facilitate our understanding of the current trend.
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