
Oil and geopolitics set the tone
Brent is up 1.5% at $111, and WTI is up 1.6% at $101.5. Reports say Washington has asked Gulf states to prepare for a possible new campaign against Iran after the US midterms, and the Israeli election is too close to call. Costly energy keeps inflation and rate-hike talk in focus.
Fed day
The decision is due at 2:00 pm ET, with Chair Warsh’s press conference to follow. A hold is widely expected after September’s hike. Traders will look for signals on December. The 10-year US yield is back above 5% (5.02%), and the dollar index is at 102.4. The RBNZ surprised by holding at 2.75%. 🇳🇿
Asian markets
Kospi: +6.6% to 6,008, led by chips, with SK Hynix and Samsung surging
Taiex: +2.1% to 47,060
Nikkei 225: +1.25% to 64,062
Shanghai Composite: +0.6% to 3,670
Hang Seng: +0.1% to 23,060
ASX 200: flat at 8,847
Wall Street (Tuesday)
S&P 500 +0.6% to 7,723, Nasdaq +1.2%, Dow flat. AI stocks led the rebound, with Broadcom and CoreWeave higher. Boeing dropped about 11% on a bigger-than-expected loss.
Currencies, metals and crypto
EUR/USD: 1.1119
USD/JPY: 157.87
Gold: $4,030 (–0.7%)
Silver: $53.84 (–1.1%)
Bitcoin: ~$80,800
Ethereum: ~$2,350
Coming up
Today: Fed decision, 2:00 pm ET
Thursday: ECB decision, US Q3 GDP and September PCE
Friday: Bank of Japan decision


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