๐ง๐๐ผ ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐. ๐๐ป๐ณ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฎ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ, ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ (๐๐ฃ๐) ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ (๐ฃ๐ฃ๐) ๐ถ๐ป๐ณ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ณ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐๐น๐.
Additionally, economic data remains strong, with both retail sales and jobless claims surpassing forecasts. These indicators suggest that the U.S. economy may be cooling, but it is not teetering on the edge of a sharp downturn or a recession.
As a result, last week, financial markets rallied from the August 5 sell-off, with the S&P 500 rebounding by over 6.5% and the technology-heavy Nasdaq surging by more than 8%. The 10-year Treasury bond yield, which had dropped to 3.66% during the market volatility, climbed back to about 3.9%, signaling renewed confidence in the broader economy. Moreover, the VIX volatility index, known as Wall Streetโs โfear gauge,โ spiked to 65 on August 5, its highest level since 2020, but has since eased back to under 15, aligning with the average over the past year.
The recent recovery in the stock market has once again been led by the technology and growth sectors, which had also been the hardest hit during the recent pullback.
As we approach a period of potential Fed rate cuts, I believe we may see a broadening of market leadership, potentially including a resurgence in smaller-cap and junior growth sectors. This pattern often emerges as bull markets near their end phase, with traders seeking undervalued stocks that have not yet participated in the bull run.
History tells us that if the Fed is cutting interest rates and the economy remains resilient, markets can continue to perform well. While market fluctuations are normal, particularly as we head into the seasonally weaker months of September and October, and then into U.S. elections, these periods of volatility and pullbacks may present opportunities to enter new emerging stocks and sectors.
In any case, closely monitor the technicals and โTrade What You See, Not What You Thinkโ.
Harry Boxer, Author
Veteran Trader, Expert Technical Market Analyst & Founder of TheTechTrader.com

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