Interesting Rate Hike Odds: March favors Hikes, December Favors Cuts

Fed fund futures show a hike in March is more likely than a cut. In December, the opposite is true.

Fed fund futures show a hike in March is more likely than a cut. In December, the opposite is true.

According to Fed Fund Futures on CME FedWatch, the odds of of a Fed interest rate hike in March outweigh those of of a hike in December of 2019.

In March, allegedly there is a 5.6% chance of a hike. By December, it looks like this.

 

Which Way?

I suggest "The Under", rate cuts.

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