Intel Corp. – Growing Old, But Not Gracefully

Intel has been showing its age. I currently rate it a "hold."

Intel Corp. clearly has not been one of the leading Dow 30 Companies since April 2012. It is currently on a hold, and my indicators are continuing to break down.

My previous articles on INTC (just click) provide you the history of my forecasting and its accuracy. 

My management objective is to identify changing trends for my forecasting analytics. I want to have current notes to quickly refer to on the anticipated direction of this sector and industry group.

A Special Note for Seniors & Retired Investors - Dividend Yield: 3.65%

Forecast w/ Performance:

(click to enlarge)
 

If you own or are considering owning semiconductor companies, the securities are becoming a mixed and rather negative bag. Intel Corp. is currently relatively weak technically and I have reservations about my fundamental valuation; however, it is on my Initial Bearish Forecast - "Warning."

My current opinion is to HOLD. Profits were taken in July and cash is my current safe haven. 

Fundamentally - ( weighting - - 40% ), my Valuations remains relatively strong but are "Poor - Flat" and on the Decline. That produces future declining valuation projections.

Technically _ ( weighting - - 35% ), my Indicators are clearly breaking down. The highs in 2012 and the current highs are the same, about $26. It is selling at a current price of $25.

Consensus Opinion - ( weighting - - 25% ): My third pillar of research is one that is always distorted to the positive by most financial analysts. That's because they are afraid of being bearish. I am not! 

A Twenty Year Perspective of Intel Corp.

Intel Corp. has taken some big hits over the years!  Click here for a 20 year chart.

"Selectivity" is what I preach (along with discipline and patience) and that is what separates me from the average investor and mutual funds.

Smile, have fun "Investing Wisely"

Dr. Steve

None.

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