Grains Report - Thursday, May 21

Wheat and Soybeans dropped on improved weather and rapid planting, while Rice surged to multi-month highs on reduced acreage.

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WHEAT
General Comments: Wheat closed lower in both markets yesterday on forecasts for improving weather in Wheat areas and in sympathy with the other markets. The crop condition ratings are now the lowest in over 30 years. USDA showed deteriorating crop conditions yesterday. Conditions are too dry in much of the US Great Plains but remain wet in the US Midwest and in western Europe for best quality potential. The weather is now featuring precipitation is forecast for parts of the Midwest along with variable temperatures. The strait of Hormuz remains closed.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Chicago are mixed. Support is at 631, 628, and 606 July, with resistance at 680, 688, and 700 July. Trends in Kansas City are mixed to up. Support is at 678, 664, and 649 July, with resistance at 722, 750, and 762 July. Trends in Minneapolis are not available.

RICE
General Comments: Rice closed higher again yesterday and at the highest level since last July in reaction to ideas of sharply reduced planted and harvested area in the US. Production was cut back mostly due to reduced planted and harvested area. Yields were actually held high in the USDA estimates. Traders anticipate less production this year in the US and around the world due to low prices. USDA said that Rice planted area would be about 12% less in the coming year. Planting and emergence are ahead of average and condition is rated high. Demand remains moderate for US Rice but export demand has been less lately.
Overnight News:
Chart Analysis: Trends are up. Support is at 1237, 1215, and 1178 July and resistance is at 1300, 1312, and 1324 July.

CORN AND OATS
General Comments: Corn was lower yesterday on strong planting and emergence progress in reports released by USDA and on forecasts for improved growing conditions in the Midwest. Planting has been very active in all of the Midwest and is now over half done. It looks drier this week, but not completely dry. Temperatures in the Midwest should be variable for the next week. Conditions are called good in Argentina and big production is expected there. Oats were higher and trends are up on the daily and weekly charts.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Corn are mixed to up. Support is at 452, 449, and 446 July, and resistance is at 487, 493, and 500 July. Trends in Oats are up. Support is at 367, 358, and 351 July, and resistance is at 386, 392, and 398 July

SOYBEANS
General Comments: Soybeans and the products were lower yesterday on rapid planting progress shown by USDA and on forecasts for improving conditions. Temperatures have been cool in the Midwest but planting is ahead of normal. Variable temperatures are expected for the next week. There is talk that more Soybeans could be planted if the weather does not improve for Corn planting soon. The big South American harvests are also weighing on prices. Big South American crops are being harvested, and ideas are that Chinese buying could be interrupted due to the Iran war and new import rules imposed by China. South American sources said that the Brazil crops are now harvested. The tariff wars between the US and other countries add to cost of US Soybeans.
Analysis: Trends in Soybeans are mixed. Support is at 1183, 1172, and 1168 July, and resistance is at 1235, 1251, and 1262 July. Trends in Soybean Meal are mixed. Support is at 328.00, 322.00, and 310.00 July, and resistance is at 342.00, 345.00,and 348.00 July. Trends in Soybean Oil are mixed to up. Support is at 7420, 7320, and 7140 July, with resistance at 7700, 7760, and 7820 July.

PALM OIL AND CANOLA
General Comments: Palm Oil was near lower today as fears on Iran faded and Canola was higher yeswterday.
Chart Analysis: Trends in Canola are mixed. Support is at 741.00, 729.00, and 709.00 July, with resistance at 758.00, 769.00, and 772.00 July. Trends in Palm Oil are mixed to up. Support is at 4460, 4350, and 4320 July, with resistance at 4540, 4720, and 4800 July

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