EUR/USD Price Forecast: Ends Week Near 1.1400, Down Below The 200-DMA

EUR/USD drops 1.74% on the week, trading near 1.1414 after slipping below the 200-day SMA.

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The Euro finalized the week posting losses of over 1.74% against the Greenback and 0.84% in the day. The EUR/USD posted four bearish days after falling below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.1672, turning the pair bearishly biased. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1414.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Weekly analysis

The EUR/USD weekly chart shows the pair is dipping below 1.1450, opening the door to further downside. Momentum is bearish as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned negative three weeks ago, after falling below the 50-neutral level.

Hence, the most likely scenario for EUR/USD is to extend its losses. The first key support level would be 1.1400, followed by 1.1300. A breach of those levels will expose the next major support area, the 100-week SMA at 1.1165.

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

Daily analysis

The EUR/USD daily chart shows a similar picture, though the first key support level will be the August 1, 2025, swing low at 1.1391. If breached, it opens the door to further downside, with the May 29, 2025, daily low at 1.1210. On further weakness, the next area of interest would be the May 12, 2025, bottom at 1.1065.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

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