EUR/USD declines 300 pips after completing wave C at 50% Fibonacci

The EUR/USD completed a bullish ABC zigzag as expected and price turned at the Fibonacci levels of wave2. The strong decline could be part of a wave 3 if price manages to break below the weekly support zone.

EUR/USD

4 hour

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09-12-2016eu4.png (1668×790)

The EUR/USD completed a bullish ABC zigzag (purple) as expected and price turned at the Fibonacci levels of wave2 (green). The strong decline could be part of a wave 3 (green) if price manages to break below the weekly support zone (green lines).

1 hour

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09-12-2016eu1.png (1668×790)

The EUR/USD bearish price action seems to have completed a wave 1 (brown) and price could build a retracement within wave 2 (brown). A break above the 100% level invalidates the wave 1-2 (brown) count.

GBP/USD

4 hour

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09-12-2016gu4.png (1668×790)

The GBP/USD also showed a bearish turn at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which could be part of a larger wave 1-2 (blue). A break below the support trend line (green) is needed before a larger wave 3 (blue) within waves 5 is possible.

1 hour

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The wave 3 (blue) becomes invalidated if price manages to break above the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level of wave 4 (orange). A break below the support (green) could see a wave 5 of wave 3 (blue) develop.

USD/JPY

4 hour

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09-12-2016uj4.png (1668×791)

The USD/JPY uptrend is showing a larger correction and consolidation zone. A break above resistance (red) could see price continue higher towards the Fib targets of wave 3 (brown). A break of support (green) could see a larger retracement develop towards previous bottoms (light green).

1 hour

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09-12-2016uj1.png (1668×792)

The USD/JPY bounced at the 78.6% Fibonacci support level. Price would need to break above the previous tops (red) before a breakout and a wave 3 (brown) become possible or else the wave count is vulnerable to change as price expands the correction sideways. 

Disclosure:

None.

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