Employment Surges to 5.5% below Feb 2020

The economy added 916,000 jobs in March, above the Bloomberg consensus of 647,000.

The economy added 916,000 jobs in March, above the Bloomberg consensus of 647,000.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment (dark blue), Bloomberg consensus as of 4/1 for March nonfarm payroll employment (light blue square), industrial production (red), personal income excluding transfers in Ch.2012$ (green), manufacturing and trade sales in Ch.2012$ (black), consumption in Ch.2012$ (light blue), and monthly GDP in Ch.2012$ (pink), all log normalized to 2020M02=0. Source: BLS, Federal Reserve, BEA, via FRED, IHS Markit (nee Macroeconomic Advisers) (3/1/2021 release), NBER, and author’s calculations.

On the strength of the labor market, see Baum and Klein at EconoFact.

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