EIA Data Cannot Spark Natural Gas Volatility

Natural gas prices settled down three-quarters of a percent today, again not seeing all that large of a trading range but trading outside the even tighter range of yesterday.

Natural gas prices settled down three-quarters of a percent today, again not seeing all that large of a trading range but trading outside the even tighter range of yesterday. 

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natural gas commodity weather

The result was another tick lower in the average prompt month daily trading range, which sits below 5 cents for the first time in at least the past 6 months. 

natural gas commodity weather

While some had hoped that today's EIA withdrawal announcement would induce volatility, the print showing a net implied flow of -57 bcf last week fell right within most expectations, not moving the market significantly. 

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natural gas commodity weather

While we had expected a slightly tighter print of -62 bcf, this certainly fell within what we saw as possible too, and accordingly prices moved very little upon its release. The number fit broadly with past data from previous weeks as well. 

natural gas commodity weather

Into the settle then we saw the most weakness at the front of the strip, like we observed yesterday. 

natural gas commodity weather

The result was a pretty noticeable tick lower in the April/October J/V spread. 

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natural gas commodity weather

Meanwhile, V/F recently pulled back from new highs. 

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natural gas commodity weather

Subscribers were made aware that prices could pull back quite early today, as we sent out our Morning Update when prices were flat on the day and noted a loss of 6 GWDDs overnight. 

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natural gas commodity weather

 

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