Dow Jones And Crude Oil On A Cliff Edge, Waiting For A Nudge

UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:

USD: Building Permits, Capacity Utilization Rate.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS

30 min

4 Hours

Daily

My Bias: market topping process completing

Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, topping in an all-time high, now beginning new bear market.
Long-term wave count: topped in wave (5)

The low of today's session so far hit 24630, this is labelled as wave '1' of 'i' of a possible return to the larger downtrend in wave [iii] green.

The rise off today's low is in a clear abc correction wave pattern, this suggests that a corrective rise in wave '2' blue is underway.
A further break of 24630 tomorrow will confirm that wave '3' down has begun.

In the short term, the signs are lining up so far that another serious acceleration lower is on the cards. I want to see a clear five-wave pattern in wave 'i' pink, followed by a three wave corrective rise in wave 'ii', which will create the bearish Elliott wave signal I am looking for.

Tomorrow, prices must remain below 24994 from here on out, as per the Elliott wave rules. Watch for a break of 24630 and a decline in wave '3' blue.

U.S CRUDE OIL

30 min

4 Hours

Daily

My Bias: topping in a large correction wave [4].

Wave Structure: Double combination higher in wave [4] red now complete.
Long-term wave count: wave [5] target $20

The rise off Tuesdays low at 70.42, has created a clear three wave pattern to the upside. The price has filled the trend channel and should now turn back down again.

I have labelled the rise as a possible second wave complete at today's highs. Price must not break above 71.92 from here on, and wave '3' down should begin off today's highs.

Much like the DOW, I expect to see complete five-wave pattern to the downside, followed by a three wave corrective rise in wave 'ii'.
That will complete another Elliott wave indicator sell signal off the recent high, and set up for a very large bear market decline. The stakes are very high in crude oil right now. And the long-term Elliott wave pattern could carry the price below $20 if I am correct.

Back to the short term.

Tomorrow, 71.92 must hold, watch for a break of 70.42 in a possible wave '3' down.