Despite A Strong Holiday Season, Express Still Expecting Negative Profit Growth

Apparel retailer Express Inc. is due out with fourth quarter results before tomorrow’s opening bell.

Apparel retailer Express Inc. (EXPR) is due out with fourth quarter results before tomorrow’s opening bell. Estimize is looking for earnings of $0.47, four cents higher than the Wall Street consensus and even a penny above the high-end of the company’s guidance range of $0.43 - $0.46. Even with a beat, this would still represent a drop of 17.5% year-over-year, the fifth consecutive quarterly decline. Revenue expectations from the Estimize community stand at $706.6M, slightly higher than the Street’s estimate of $704.1M. This will also be the fifth quarterly decline for sales.

At the beginning of this year, Express announced it was boosting it’s full year and fourth quarter outlook due to a better-than-expected holiday-shopping period. While the holiday season got off to a slow start on Thanksgiving weekend, business improved markedly towards the end of December and beginning of January, a pattern experienced by many other retailers. However, those sales didn’t come without heavy promotions.

Like others in this space, Express has struggled in the last year or so with a lackluster assortment which has pushed customers to fast fashion brands such as H&M and Zara. The stock is up about 2% for the year, but took a big hit in January after announcing it had ended talks to sell itself to private equity firm Sycamore Partners due to a lack of financing. Over the summer, investors rewarded the stock when first hearing about buyout interest from Sycamore which had approximately a 10% stake.

(Photo Credit: Mike Mozart)

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