Consumer Staples are Overbought in the Short-Run but the Trend Remains Positive

Looking at consumer staples across a variety of regions, it seems that this group is probably overbought in the short-term. However, the overall trend remains very positive as consumer staples is the only sector that is breaking out to new highs.

By Gavekal Capital Blog 

Developed market consumer staple stocks are up a health 5.5% in 2016 compared to an 80 bps decline for developed market equities in general. Looking at consumer staples, across a variety of regions, it seems that this group is probably overbought in the short-term. However, the overall trend remains very positive as consumer staples is the only sector that is breaking out to new highs.

84% of DM consumer staple stocks are trading above the 200-day moving average. This is in contrast to just 61% of DM stocks in general that are trading above the 200-day moving average. And in certain weaker sectors of the equity market, such as in financials, only 49% of stocks are trading above the 200-day moving average.

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The overbought condition exists regardless of which region you look. In DM Americas, 82% of consumer staple stocks are trading above the 200-day moving average. In DM EMEA, this statistics stands at 79% and in DM Asia a whopping 90% of consumer staple stocks are trading above the 200-day moving average.

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Nevertheless, as we mentioned early, this an overbought condition in a positive trend. DM Consumer staples have poked out to new all-time highs while the GKCI DM Index remains about 9% below the May 2015 high. Consumer staple stocks are undoubtedly the sector that is leading the market currently.

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Disclosure:

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