Consumer Credit Stress Is Comparable To The Great Recession

Auto delinquencies are at a new record and credit cards are near record high.

I downloaded the Fed Household Credit Report and created some new charts. The report is sobering except for housing.

90-Day Delinquency by Loan Type

  • Credit Card: 13.12 percent 2026 Q1 vs 13.74 GFC Peak

  • Student Loan: 10.34 percent 2026 Q1 vs 11.83 GFC Peak

  • Auto Loans: 5.60 percent 2026 Q1 vs 5.27 GFC Peak

  • Mortgage: 1.09 percent 2026 Q1 vs 8.89 GFC Peak

  • Home Equity Line of Credit HELOC: 0.95 percent 2026 Q1 vs 4.93 GFC Peak

  • Other: 9.76 percent 2026 Q1 vs 11.30 GFC Peak

  • All: 3.36 percent 2026 Q1 vs 8.71 GFC Peak

Mortgages and HELOCs obscure the totals.

2026 Q1 90+ Day Delinquencies vs GFC Peak Nominal Dollars

In nominal dollars Autos, credit card, student loans and other are higher now than in the Great Financial Crisis (GFC).

2026 Q1 90+ Day Delinquencies vs GFC Peak Real Dollars

2026 Q1 90+ Day Delinquencies vs GFC Peak Real Dollars

In real dollars, where things matter most, autos, credit card, student loans and other are also higher now than in the Great Financial Crisis (GFC).

90-Day vs 60-Day Delinquent

Category

Balance (Trillions)

90+ Days Delinquent %

90+ Days
(Billions)

60+ Days Delinquent %

60+ Days (Billions)

Auto Loans

$1.685

5.60%

$94

~8.0%

~$135

Credit Cards

$1.252

13.1%

$164

~16.5%

~$207

Student Loans

$1.658

10.3%

$171

~12.8%

~$212

Other

$0.562

9.76

$55

~12.0%

~$67

Total Non-Housing

$5.157

$484

~$621

90-Day Delinquent in Billions Excluding Housing

  • Auto Loans: $94

  • Credit Cars: $164

  • Student Loans: $171

  • Other: $55

  • Total Non-Housing: $484

60-Day Delinquent in Billions Excluding Housing

  • Auto Loans: $135

  • Credit Cars: $207

  • Student Loans: $212

  • Other: $67

  • Total Non-Housing: $621

Excluding housing there is about $621 billion in 60-day or longer delinquencies.

People are paying their mortgages but struggling mightily everywhere else. Somehow the DOW isn’t helping.

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