CAB Climbs Higher, Equity Markets To Follow

CAB reported at 121.13 with past few months revised higher. Economic activity is accelerating and equities should follow as they have done historically.

“Davidson” submits:

CAB reported at 121.13 with past few months revised higher. Economic activity is accelerating and equities should follow as they have done historically. Likely a 3yr-5yr period of equity higher markets based on recent reduction of regulations, tax reductions, US reemerging as protector of Democracy globally and a falling US$.

Contrary to accepted wisdom, a weaker US$ represents repatriation of capital which in recent years had pooled in the US as a safe haven from predations of Iran, ISIS, Russia and etc. Fear of capital losses drove the US$ higher 2014-2016 by ~40% resulting in a US Industrial recession and collapsing commodity prices. Exiting this period, we are seeing a very strong recovery which spurs global economic expansion. The US$ still has ~25% fall to return to its long-term trend.

Upside should continue to surprise, markets should respond.

 

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