BP Settles With U.S. Government And Gulf States

The media are reporting today that BP has reached a settlement related to damages associated with the massive 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill.

BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is the holding company of one of the world's largest petroleum and petrochemicals groups. Their main activities are exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas; refining, marketing, supply and transportation; and manufacturing and marketing of petrochemicals. They have a growing activity in gas and power and in solar power generation. BP has well-established operations in Europe, North and South America, Australasia and Africa.

The media are reporting today that BP has reached a settlement related to damages associated with the massive 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill. Details have not yet been released, but according to Bloomberg, press conferences are scheduled for this morning by the Attorney Generals of states affected by the spill--Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida.

The 2010 spill was a disaster for the Gulf and BP's reputation, exposing lax safety practices and a seeming lack of concern on the part of the firm and CEO Tony Hayward. Hayward's legendary "Sorry" speech, which was a PR disaster, led to his widespread ridicule and eventual resignation.

"Sorry" BP CEO Hayward, Skewered by TV's "Southpark"

Since then, the company has spent almost $30 billion on cleanup and associated costs--out of a war chest of about $44 billion. But, the company has been fighting claims along the way and trying to avoid big payouts to states and cities under the US federal Oil Pollution Act.

BP was an interesting case from a quant research perspective, because as shareholders dumped the stock, the price dived yet earnings as calculated by analysts remained the same. So, it actually looked more attractive to computer-based stock forecasting and valuation models.

Angry environmentally-conscious investors berated firms who ranked the BP a BUY despite the millions of barrels of oil pouring into the Gulf. This was yet another example of the fact that computers can only measure financial data, and until qualitative analysts adjusted earnings data to reflect the liabilities associated with the spill, a true picture of the company's health was impossible to obtain. The stock has never returned to where it was before the spill, and is currently up @23% from the low it hit in June, 2010--although it had been up from the low almost 70% in July, 2014

Below is today's more extensive data on BP:

Recommendation: ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on BP PLC for 2015-06-30. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that BP PLC has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Earnings Growth Rate.

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

40.08 0.31%

3-Month

40.87 2.28%

6-Month

41.41 3.63%

1-Year

41.43 3.68%

2-Year

39.15 -2.03%

3-Year

45.53 13.93%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

1.64% overvalued

Valuation Rank

59

1-M Forecast Return

0.31%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

74

12-M Return

-20.79%

Momentum Rank

28

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sharpe Ratio Rank

42

5-Y Avg Annual Return

-0.71%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

41

Volatility

32.50%

Volatility Rank

54

Expected EPS Growth

-27.64%

EPS Growth Rank

11

Market Cap (billions)

121.44

Size Rank

100

Trailing P/E Ratio

12.18

Trailing P/E Rank

87

Forward P/E Ratio

16.84

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

49

PEG Ratio

n/a

PEG Ratio Rank

n/a

Price/Sales

0.38

Price/Sales Rank

88

Market/Book

1.54

Market/Book Rank

63

Beta

1.97

Beta Rank

13

Alpha

-0.38

Alpha Rank

21
Disclosure:

None.

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