Biotech Bonanza – Approaching An Inflection Point

Biotechs are performing well this year even in an uncertain environment. Policy clarity is important and we may be approaching an inflection point for them to push higher. Investors should maintain exposure to this volatile but promising sector.

Over the past month, the focus of the lawmakers has been on the repeal of the Affordable Care Act or Obamacare and passage of a new healthcare bill, the American Health Care Act often dubbed as TrumpCare. Those efforts didn't go far enough the last time in April, but it still continues as work-in-progress. The Bill is being seen as a legislative hurdle that the new administration wishes to surmount before making further progress on its other priorities like tax reform and infrastructure spending.

In the absence of price-cutting rhetoric and tweets, the Biotech sector calmly consolidated over the month of April. In fact, as the Nasdaq (QQQ) made a new high last week and the S&P 500 (SPY) approached one, the Biotech indexes, represented by the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (IBB) and the S&P Biotechnology Index (XBI), were within 5% of their 52-week highs. This is a favorable departure from similar instances in the past where the biotech indexes were treading water and struggling well below their 52-week highs, as the broader market climbed higher.

Prudent Biotech - IBB - Nasdaq Biotechnology Index

Prudent Biotech - Biotechnology ETF IBB tracking Nasdaq Biotech index

IBB tracking the underlying Nasdaq Biotechnology Index

The IBB index is once again approaching a key long-term resistance level.

Can the Biotech sector punch forward to new highs?

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Disclosure:

I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

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