AUD/USD Price Forecast: Bulls Eye 0.7100 After U.S. Retail Sales Miss

The Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) surged as weak U.S. retail sales fueled speculation of a Fed rate pause. Technical indicators suggest bulls are targeting the 0.7100 level, while key support holds steady near the 100-day SMA.

The Australian Dollar advanced on Friday after US Retail Sales disappointed investors, increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve might not raise rates, as the economy showed tentative signs of weakness. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7083, up 0.34%

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The daily chart shows the AUD/USD is bullish, but buyers remain unable to decisively crack the January 29 high of 0.7094, which could open the door for further upside. Momentum shifted bullish since mid-July, as depicted in the Relative Strength Index (RSI).

From a market structure perspective, the pair has not shifted bullish until buyers regain the June 1 peak at 0.7190. Hence, the first AUD/USD resistance is 0.7100, followed by the latter. On further strength, the next stop is 0.7200.

On the downside, the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.7058 is the first support. Once cleared, the 50-day SMA emerges as the next demand zone at 0.6991, followed by the 200-day SMA at 0.6937.

AUD/USD Price Chart – Daily

AUD/USD daily price chart
AUD/USD daily chart

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