My name is Burt Coons. My Pen name "Plunger" is a spoof based on a quote from P.J. O’Rourke, an American political satirist and journalist. “Giving assets to a stock market plunger is like giving beer and car keys to teenage boys." A plunger is the polar opposite of a ...
more My name is Burt Coons. My Pen name "Plunger" is a spoof based on a quote from P.J. O’Rourke, an American political satirist and journalist. “Giving assets to a stock market plunger is like giving beer and car keys to teenage boys." A plunger is the polar opposite of a prudent investor. "Most prudent investors find that their permanent profits come from a diversified portfolio where they maintain a discipline of letting profits run and cutting losses quickly. A plunger, on the other hand, will make daring emotional speculations, risking a large percentage of capital on a single trade, having total unquestioned certainty on their "trade-of-the-month". Seldom do they build into a position over time adding increasing purchases only after the market validates their market opinion. No, instead they plunge into the trade all at once." In my formal training I achieved a BS in Economics with a focus on econometrics and political economy. After earning my degree, my academic journey revealed to me that conventional Keynesian theory was wholly insufficient in explaining the financial world we live in. This led me to the Austrian school of economics as founded by Ludwick Von Mises. I was mentored by Harry Browne and have studied the entire works of Mises and Murray Rothbard. As an investor and trader I have been principally influenced by Dow Theory and the great analysts who developed and evolved it to what it is today. Modern portfolio management falls far short of what the great stock market theorists of the 20th century had to offer. What has been lost is the skill of interpreting the averages through reading the language of the market. My role as a market historian has evolved from reading the greats on market history. I have observed the great Wall Street analysts of old were far superior to anyone providing analysis today. So we use the method of these analysts, Charles Dow, William P. Hamilton, Robert Rhea and Richard Russell to guide us. I am also a student of the technical analysis discipline know as Chartology ( a modern adaptation , by TA analyst Rambus, of the classical work authored in the 1950s by Edwards and Magee) To be successful as an investor one must not follow Wall Streets recommendations, but instead develop the skills to independently interpret the market. I have been fortunate the past 30 years observing, up close, the economies and cultures of the world in the role of being a Captain for a major International airline." Favorite topics:
- The great 1920’s bull market and the ensuing depression
- The colorful market operators of old, Livermore, Jay Gould, Daniel Drew.
- Bear Markets
Books:
- Panic Profits-Brown
- 101 years on Wall Street- Brown
- Anatomy of the Bear- Napier
- Devil take the hindmost-Chancellor
- Rainbow’s End- Klein
- All books by Charles Kindleberger
less
Latest Comments
Correction Over, Gold & Gold Stocks Eyeing New Highs
As you correctly point out gold could have corrected to $1280. Since it didn't we again find ourselves with lots of wannabe gold holders on the sidelines. They are now set-up to chase the rally.
Bull Markets That Follow Epic Bears
Very good observations. Your approach and findings are consistent with what I have proposed from a different method. I have seen this as a Phase I of a new bull and in that phase stocks return to "known Values" which I have suggested are around HUI 350, where the point of recognition was in both the preceding bull and bear markets. Also like the bull of 1982 in the general stock market stocks took off and didn't correct for 17 months.
Complacency Over Coal's Collapse: Factors To Consider
Tons of data here, enjoyed the article, I wish there was a more conclusive strategy presented going forward.
As for myself, if we increase the tax on coal we must certainly penalize the more damaging methane by installing the "Fart Tax"
GDX Put-Call Chart
It would help me to understand the meaning of the chart if I could get further interpretation. Just thought it was too abbreviated
GDX Put-Call Chart
Need some more analysis
The Three Phases Of A Bull Market
Its possible, but remember gold is not a commodity, its not consumed
The Three Phases Of A Bull Market
General stock market- apparent bear
Precious metals- likely bull
Oil: $55 - $60 Here We Come
I have been "all in" in the PM sector since early FEB. Regarding oil I am somewhat neutral, but on sidelines. I don't think bear market is over yet is my analysis, but not interested in playing downside since upside PMs is the place to be right now.
Oil: $55 - $60 Here We Come
Like you know how I am positioned?
Oil: $55 - $60 Here We Come
Wow, does Gary realize his tone of voice is extremely condescending to those on the other side of the trade?