Forex Metrics And Chart Week 49/2017

The Top 10 of the Ranking and Rating list for the coming week shows the following stronger currencies being well represented for going long: the EUR(4X) with the GBP(4X). The weaker currencies are the NZD(4X) followed by the AUD(2X), JPY(2X) and USD(2X).
By diversifying a nice combination can be traded in the coming weeklike e.g.:

  • EUR/NZD with the GBP/AUD
  • EUR/JPY with the GBP/USD

Ranking and Rating list

Analysis based on TA charts for all the major currency pairs. Good luck to all.No advice, just info. Every week the Forex ranking rating list will be prepared for the weekend. All the relevant Time Frames will be analyzed and the ATR and Pip value will be set.

For analyzing the best pairs to trade looking from a longer-term perspective the last 13 weeks Currency Classification can be used in support.
This was updated on 3 December 2017 and is provided here for reference purposes:
Strong: EUR, GBP and CAD. The preferred range is from 6 to 8.
Neutral: USD, AUD and CHF. The preferred range is 3 to 5.
Weak: JPY and NZD. The preferred range is from 1 to 2.

When comparing the 13 weeks Currency Classification with the pairs mentioned in the Ranking List above some would then become less interesting. On the other hand, these pairs are at the top of the list partly also because of their volatility. It seems best to take positions for a short period then and take advantage of the high price movements. With the our strategy, these pairs are not traded because these would be trades in lower Time Frames than the 4 Hour chart. Nevertheless, they may offer good chances for the short term trader.

Currency Score Chart

The Currency Score analysis is one of the parameters used for the Ranking and Rating list which is published also in this article. The Currency Score is my analysis on the 8 major currencies based on the technical analysis charts using the MACD and Ichimoku indicator on 4 Time Frames: the monthly, weekly, daily and 4 hours. The result of the technical analysis is the screenshot here below.

When comparing the 13 weeks Currency Classification with the recent Currency Score, as provided in the image above, we can determine the deviations. In the article "Forex Strength and Comparison" this is analyzed in more detail.

Chart of the Week

The Chart for this week is the GBP/JPY 4 Hour chart.

Price is clearly in an uptrend and is now consolidating around the Tenkan-Sen with a possible continuation towards the Kijun-Sen.

  1. A nice buy opportunity would be around the Nr. 1 yellow dotted line and the Kijun-Sen. The yellow dotted line seems to be an important Support/Resistance level.
  2. The target should be below the Nr. 2 yellow dotted line where thelatest high was made. This may be or become a support level and closing below that level is for that reason a good target.
  3. In case of a stronger pullback with price going far below the Nr. 1 yellowdotted support line with the MACD not recovering the set-up is no more valid. A stop-lossshould be placed below a recent bottom. These are levels where Support or Resistance may reside too.
  4. The MACD should show strength in the MACD minus Signal, these are the Blue and Red bars. In case of an uptrend, the red bars should become smaller or the blue bars larger. In case of a downtrend, the red bars should become larger or the blue bars smaller. The MACD should stay below the zero line.
  • This is a pair that fits best in Point 1 of the Comparison Table Guide. For more information read my otherWeekly article called the "Forex Strength and Comparison".
  • The GBP is a Strong currency and the JPY a Weak currency. The Currency Score Difference is 6.

The set-up mentioned remains valid as long as the pair remains in theTop 10 of the coming Weekly Ranking and Rating lists and continues to comply with the point of the Comparison Table Guide mentioned above.

Disclaimer: Besides this article I also use the Forex "Ranking, Rating and Score" which is also available once a week on my blog. In the article "Ranking, Rating and Score" ...

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