Traditional Markets

The fundamentals are the same as they've been for the last few weeks but it does seem like all the craziness is finally falling into a routine.

The trade talks continue to escalate, and the US Federal Reserve continues to tighten their monetary policy while the central banks are being more cautious. At the same time, we have corporate earnings which seem strong but are showing a few holes under the surface.

Though the Dollar is still in its consolidation, as we highlighted on Wednesday, the last few days have brought us to the top of that range as the Dollar is gaining steadily.

This is likely what's dragging the metals market down further lately. The hardest hit has been gold, which has seen some fresh freaky lows, now supported by the round level of $1,200 per ounce, a price point that has proved significant in the past.

Bitcoin's Technicals

Speaking of price points, a journalist recently asked me about the significance of the 200 DMA line on Bitcoin.

For those of you who are less familiar with technical analysis, the 200 Day Moving Average (DMA) is a line that's drawn over the chart that shows the average price of the last 200 days at any point.

A moving average can really be set for any period that you like but for some reason, 200 days seems to be a significant one that investors pay attention to.

My natural response was to say that crypto tends to pay attention to technical indicators, but when I checked the chart, it seems that this trend is even more pronounced  than I'd originally estimated.

Here's the chart with the 200 DMA in blue...

The white circles are highlighting that both of the major rallies that happened this year were stopped short by this indicator. Not only did the price fail to get an upside breach but you can see that both times it had tried for several days, testing the barrier, before finally retreating.

Similarly, we can see that the 200 DMA played a huge role in bitcoin's 2017 rally, especially in the beginning of the year, where it provided the market with support.

Wishing you an amazing day ahead!