Contributor's Links: The Speculative Investor

I graduated from the University of Western Australia in 1984 with a degree in electronic engineering and from 1984 until 1998 worked in the commercial construction industry as an engineer, a project manager and an operations manager. 

I began investing in the stock market 2 ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

No Confirmation Of A Gold Bull Market, Yet
The ‘true fundamentals’ began shifting in gold’s favor in October of last year and by early-December, the fundamental backdrop was gold-bullish for the first time in almost a year.
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The Japanese Government Is Still Pegging The Gold Price
Gold trades like a safe haven because in part that’s what it is.
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The Fed Unwittingly Will Continue To Tighten
The Fed probably will implement another 0.25% rate hike this week, but at the same time, it probably will signal either an indefinite pause in its rate-hiking or a slowing of its rate-hiking pace.
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The Fundamental Backdrop Turns Bullish For Gold… Almost
As economic confidence declines, credit spreads widen and gold strengthens relative to other commodities.
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The Cost Of Government Debt Is Immediate
When the government goes further into debt the biggest problem isn’t that it places a burden on future generations since the debt will never be repaid anyway.
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Gold Inflation
Over the past 70 years the annual rate of gold inflation has almost always been between 1.5% and 2.0% and has never strayed far from the 1.5%-2.0% range.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500

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The Speculative Investor
Steven Saville
Steven Saville

In an average week, TSI subscribers receive two reports: a Weekly Market Update on Sunday and an Interim Update on Thursday morning (NYT). The Weekly Update typically has 3000-4500 words and 10-15 charts, while the average Interim Update is about half that size. As well as containing information about the gold, currency, stock, bond and commodity markets, these reports regularly include discussions about macro-economics. The economics-related discussions are from an “Austrian” perspective, because I’ve found that the Austrian School is the only school of economics that is consistently logical and explains how the world really works.

TSI subscribers also get access to a list of stock selections. The TSI stock selections have provided very good long-term returns; however, due to the highly speculative nature of the stocks I tend to focus on, my year-to-year returns have been ‘lumpy’, to put it mildly.