Chief Market Strategist
Contributor's Links: finomgroup.com

After 20 years in the retail and consumer goods sector, I became a research analyst and market strategist for Capital Ladder Advisory Group. Since 2011, I have published some 400+ articles surrounding mainstream retailers like Bed Bath & Beyond, Target, Costco and more. I've covered ... more

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Trade Fears Subside, But Retail Stocks Slide Along With Market Volatility
Equity markets were sent reeling, once again, Monday as trade war concerns and their impact on global growth moved to the forefront once again. What spurred the latest fears was the following headline:
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E Trade Headlines Directing Markets, But Volatility...?
For the 1st time in almost 3 years the Dow saw its 4th negative week in a row. The index is now more than 4% below its record high. Last week was the 2nd week in a row in which SPX weekly expected move breached on the 1st trading day of the week.
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The Market Trend Is Headline Dependent, Resilient & Found For False Narration By Pseudo-Economists
Trade War headlines and President Donal Trump Tweets serve as the backdrop and stop for equity markets as economists attempt to value the risk/reward proposition across various asset classes in the new geopolitical market paradigm.
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Tariffs Whipsaw Markets As Retailers Are Set To Report On Q1 Results
Equities bounced back on Tuesday after a 2%+ loss on Monday, as trade talks still appear in play between the two largest economies. But the rally fizzled in the final hour of closing as the major averages lost some of their vigor.
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E Comprehensive Geopolitical Picture Which May Prove To Impact All Forms Of Growth
The fears of profound losses to the equity markets in the event that tariffs have been increased were overblown… or were they? We wouldn’t let the sharp intraday reversal off the lows on Friday, which found the S&P 500 (SPX) finishing up nearly.
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Trading A Risk-Off Environment As Tariffs Are Hiked
The binary reaction potential from markets in response to raising tariffs on China's exports has spooked investors. While the U.S. economic data has improved, it will not likely carry weight given the geopolitical issues and impact on growth.
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Latest Comments
Spring Crash Potential Not About China
5 days ago

To that extent there's also a reason the chart is so condensed.

In this article: SPX
Spring Crash Potential Not About China
5 days ago

He's done it purposefully, I actually already debunked this lumber theory of ill repute in a previous article and video.

In this article: SPX
Spring Crash Potential Not About China
5 days ago

Is there a reason you don't explore why Lumber prices rose so significantly last year, dropped within months, housing still near 11-year highs in certain respects? Any reason? Isn't it true that bonds prices and equity prices have risen together in nearly 40% of quarters since 1990s?

In this article: SPX
If "Getting Ahead" Depends On Asset Bubbles, It's Not "Getting Ahead," It's Gambling
28 days ago

sure, why not miss out on the equity market rally and resign myself to the offered income gap that will only lessen my chances of prospering when the so-called asset bubbles burst. Logical?

S&P 500 Heads Into Earnings Season Up Roughly 15%; What Could Go Wrong?
1 month ago

I said, "still part of the retail sales equation". Yes! But again, suggesting Xmas sales over the last 10 years have been lower is a complete farce.

S&P 500 Heads Into Earnings Season Up Roughly 15%; What Could Go Wrong?
1 month ago

Additionally, household debt to income ratios now stand at the best levels in some 17 years. To suggest the consumer is weak is just not logical. They may simply be making better choices which is logical given the greater millenial concentration of consumer spending and their relative proximity to the former Great Financial Crisis.

S&P 500 Heads Into Earnings Season Up Roughly 15%; What Could Go Wrong?
1 month ago

Total retail sales only go in one direction long-term which is confirmed in all St. Louis Fed charts of consumer spending and retail sales. Not sure where youre finding such data suggesting that over the last 10 years that Xmas sales have fallen? Just doesn't make sense. I agree about weakness in clothing in other certain discretionary goods, but that's because a greater portion of household purchases have been diverted to smartphone and media packages over that time, which are still part of the retail sales equation.

S&P 500 Heads Into Earnings Season Up Roughly 15%; What Could Go Wrong?
1 month ago

How does one draw the conclusion the consumer is weak? Moreover, that is clearly subjective as weak to one person may be strong or moderate to another.

With Massive Gains Past 3 Months, Bulls Stay Put; Reversal Risks Rising Looking At VIX Futures
1 month ago

Why would you only offer non-commerical positions and also not include combined open interest in VIX futures? Where's the extrapolative value in such an offering?

GDP-B Doesn’t Cut It Either
1 month ago

"GDP is hyped-up to be an all-important measure of economic activity. It does not measure economic activity, instead, recording meaningless money-totals spent in unsound currency over a given period. A bad statistic such as GDP is wide open to official manipulation, and there is always a desire to enhance it. GDP-B, which includes an estimated consumer surplus, appears to conform with this desire. If it is successfully introduced, GDP would be substantially increased, making governments look good, and reducing their debt to GDP ratios. However, it is no more than a statistical cheat."

If always open to cheat/manipulation and that exercise is always performed with regard to the reported data, then there's always a delta factor between real and manipulation that is still extrapolated as the real perspective number.

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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AAPL Apple Inc.
BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation
FEYE FireEye, Inc.
FIT Fitbit, Inc.
JCP J.C. Penney Company Inc.
M Macy's Inc.
NKE Nike Inc.
PEP PepsiCo Inc.
SODA SodaStream International Ltd.
TGT Target Corporation
UVXY PowerShares Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II
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Seth Golden Commented on Spring Crash Potential Not About China:

To that extent there's also a reason the chart is so condensed.

Seth Golden Commented on Spring Crash Potential Not About China:

He's done it purposefully, I actually already debunked this lumber theory of ill repute in a previous article and video.

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State Of The Markets Segment 3: U.S. Dollar Index Weight, Markets Succumb To Resistance, Volatility Bites
Volatility is coming back to the markets as investors hedge into the S&P 2,800 resistance level. Boeing continues to drive DJIA market performance while the economic data also continues to prove a mixed bag.
S&P 500 Consolidation Persists: 3 Big Market Calls By Marko Kolanovic
Whether it is trade with China or the Iran nuclear deal/sanctions that are still in search for resolution, all geo-political issues can be “trumped” by the fears of inflation/reflation.
Understanding Volatility And Vetting Resources Is Required For VIX Traders
The VIX or volatility doesn’t die nor does it have the ability to die, but rather it expresses an ability for a market or markets to mature past the point of greatest fears and from the events that cause fear to have taken place.

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